EDITORIAL: The government in Mogadishu shifts tactics. Navigating a complex regional security dynamic, it has subtly adapted its strategy, particularly after recent indications suggested a possible diplomatic cold shoulder from the African Union’s Peace and Security Council (PSC). Observers noted that the PSC might not assemble in a timely manner to address Somalia’s plea, hinting at an unspoken rebuke. In response, Somalia has tactically pivoted, finalizing bilateral agreements with Djibouti and Uganda.
Mogadishu, SOMALIA. By the Editorial Team:
These new accords signify a reorientation for troops that previously functioned under the African Union Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS). Slated for a scheduled drawdown, some of these forces are now poised to retain their presence in the country, albeit with a shift in their operational parameters.
A focal point of this adjustment centres on the Forward Operating Bases (FOBs) at key strategic locations, notably Villa Somalia, the Parliament, and the Dhuusamareeb Airport. Although previously designated for decommissioning under ATMIS protocols, they will now be sustained. Uganda’s troops are assigned to maintain security at Villa Somalia and the Parliament, while Djibouti’s personnel guard the Dhuusamareeb Airport. Transitioning from their former ATMIS affiliations, these troops will now serve under distinct bilateral frameworks.
African Union in carbon copy
Yet, astute diplomacy hasn’t mirrored strategic recalibration on the ground. An evident misstep emerged when the plea to delay the drawdown, instead of the foreign minister drafting it, bore the signature of the President’s national security advisor. Dispatched to the United Nations Security Council (UNSC), the communication’s form raised eyebrows. Especially when the pivotal African Union (AU) was relegated to a mere carbon copy recipient. This departure from established diplomatic conventions appears ill-advised and risks undermining the gesture’s intended gravitas.
Somalia’s evolving security posture underscores a salient takeaway: Adept diplomacy must complement tactical prowess. Bilateral arrangements, as promising as they seem for immediate security imperatives, only constitute one facet of the stability matrix. Long-term equilibrium is equally, if not more, contingent on maintaining and nurturing international diplomatic rapport.